Coming Soon (08/28/2025) on Amazon
Book Summary: This is a practical guide to leveraging regression
analysis for more efficient real estate valuation. Drawing on actual sales data
from diverse counties and towns, the book features ten chapters, each dedicated
to a complete regression model. These models incorporate real-world datasets,
in-depth statistical analysis, and step-by-step implementation plans, making
them accessible for both novices and experts.
Rather than building exhaustive predictive tools, the models focus
on generating statistically significant baseline coefficients to support
comparable sales (comps) processes. This approach aids key stakeholders—private
entities like banks, brokerages, real estate investment trusts (REITs), funds,
mass appeals filers, and research firms, as well as public assessing
jurisdictions—in streamlining their in-house workflows for greater efficiency,
transparency, and scalability.
A core methodology is the two-pass regression framework, applied
consistently throughout. The first pass uses all available sales data to establish
a baseline model. In contrast, the second pass refines it by excluding outliers based on
metrics like sales ratios and Z-scores, yielding smoother, less noisy, and more
reliable results. The book also demonstrates deriving objective time
adjustments from market data via regression, avoiding subjective pre-treatments
to raw sales prices.
To address economic variances across cities, towns, and zip codes,
the book explores proven coding techniques for categorical variables, including
dummy coding, effect coding, one-hot encoding, ordinal encoding, and custom
deviation coding. These methods ensure models account for location-specific
disparities effectively.
Finally, the book stresses the importance of supplementing
baseline models with detailed, subject- and comps-specific data—often sourced
from taxing jurisdictions and data providers—to produce comprehensive final
reports. By combining regression with enhanced data collection, readers gain a
holistic toolkit for insightful, high-volume comps analysis in dynamic real
estate markets.
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